New York Times: As Markets Waver, the Rich Park Money in Luxury Homes
High-end residential buyers still want a good deal, as they always have, and, of course, a property that will eventually have capital appreciation, or will generate rental income, said Kathleen Peddicord, the founder of the Live and Invest Overseas publishing group.
“But once they have found what they want, there’s more urgency,” Ms. Peddicord said. “In the past year, they’ve been quicker to pull the trigger on a purchase once they’ve identified such an opportunity.”
Many high-net-worth investors are plunking cash in a second or third high-end residence as a safety net, stemming from concern about a wide range of economic and political factors. These include the possibility of rising interest rates in the United States, China’s slowdown, low oil prices, conflicts in the Middle East and the reality that equities have been lethargic and bonds have floundered in a bear market.
“People feel more comfortable investing in things they can see and touch and feel, that’s the tangible nature of real estate,” said Michael Sonnenfeldt, founder and chairman of Tiger 21, a network of over 440 members who collectively manage more than $40 billion worth of personal investable assets.
“That’s why our members are pulling in on some of their private equity and fixed-income exposure, rolling up their shirt sleeves and getting involved in tangible assets that they buy with cash,” Mr. Sonnenfeldt said. “Fewer people, though, think of it as a pure investment vehicle. They want the security.”
And they are not just buying United States properties in upscale urban real estate markets like New York and Miami, and vacation spots such as the Hamptons, Jackson Hole, Wyo., and Nantucket, in Massachusetts. “I believe the interest among high-end property buyers in overseas markets is greater than ever right now,” Ms. Peddicord said.
“People with money are keen to diversify it beyond the U.S. stock market in particular,” she said. “A vacation or second or third home in a sunny Shangri-La is an increasingly appealing option. It’s a hard asset that doubles as a lifestyle enhancement and that cushions the buyer from any shocks U.S. markets may be in for.”
While most ultra-high-net-worth individuals opt for a second or third home in the country where they reside, an increasing number of people with net assets of more than $30 million are buying homes in other countries, according to a 2015 report by Wealth-X and Sotheby’s International Realty. International homes account for 16 percent of nonprimary ultra-high-net-worth residences, compared with 11 percent in 2010.
The middle-market buyers are spending $250,000 to $500,000 on single properties, but high-net-worth individuals are spending $1 million or more in many markets, including the Caribbean and Europe, Ms. Peddicord said. “We’re seeing increased interest in Panama and countries where the U.S. dollar is strong,” she said. These include France, Spain and Portugal.
Call it market timing. As investors look for a shelter for some money, luxury home prices have softened and are continuing to decline in many markets.
“Pricing on the high end of second homes has experienced an elevated level of ‘luxflation’ over the past five years that is unprecedented in history,” said Leonard Steinberg, president of Compass. “This pricing is adjusting to more realistic levels as we speak, and people, quite smartly, are buying into the luxury market at a better price than they could have 12 months ago.”
The gap between asking prices and sales prices of luxury homes is widening, according to Luxury Defined 2016, a study of 2015’s top sales in 100 luxury-housing markets worldwide by Christie’s International Real Estate.
According to the study, “The highest priced home sold in each market traded on average 19 percent less than their original asking prices, compared with 14 percent less in 2014.” As a result of these economic and political factors, “several luxury real estate markets across the globe saw a marked increase in sales from overseas investors and second-home buyers over the past 12-18 months.”
Beyond more realistic prices and the allure of a stable investment to weather stock market volatility, wealthy buyers are also purchasing eco-friendly homes that are energy efficient and smart homes with the latest tech installed to make it seamless to work from any location, according to the Wealth-X and Sotheby’s report.
Moreover, in the last five years, the trend has been toward gated communities, said David Forbes, private office head of Savills, a global real estate firm. “Security has become a major issue worldwide. We’ve seen a huge shift away from big single villas in isolated areas toward really high-end secure gated communities with full service amenities, from tennis to a world-class golf course, a spa and something for the kids to do.”
Savills, for example, lists a $4.9 million seven-bedroom, six-bathroom villain El Madroñal, a gated community in the hills above Marbella on the Costa del Sol in Spain. The cortijo-style home with panoramic sea and mountain views is in a gated community with 24-hour security.
Private islands, too, have been in vogue in recent years, particularly in Western Europe, the Caribbean, the British Virgin Islands and the Bahamas. Lately, though, while buyers are inquiring, “sales have been rather quiet,” said Farhad Vladi, president of Vladi Private Islands, a brokerage firm.
“Buying an island is an emotional buy, rather than one that’s triggered by economic uncertainty,” he said. “It’s a luxury, not a necessity. Since some prices have dropped this year, my clients are saying, let’s wait and see if they might come down further.”